Beryl – What to Look for
What to look for with Hurricane Beryl and any possible impact in Texas.
12/9/23 Severe Weather Synopsis
Regardless of the severe weather potential we all need to be aware that winds behind the cold front will be stout. 20-25 miles per hour with gusts 10-15 miles per hour higher. Now, on to the possibility of severe weather. It’s being over hyped like the last system, but the threat is appreciable, especially for […]
Severe Weather Possibility Analysis
I am posting because of the significant potential for severe weather. However, I am not convinced the severe weather will materialize, at least on a widespread scale. Yet, the impacts, if they do occur, are significant enough to warrant posting. Severe weather is like cooking a wedding cake. The layers of the atmosphere have to […]
Look! Up in the sky! It’s a bird! It’s a plane! It’s a COLD FRONT!!!!!
A little piece of hell has been hanging out overhead most of the summer reminding us to repent and wear sackcloth and ashes. The end is nigh – for the infernal high pressure that’s been plaguing us all summer. It won’t go out without a fight, but it is going away next week. Good riddance. […]
The Tropics and Clickbait/Scare Media
August 16, 2023 12 noon tropical analysis for the Gulf of Mexico.
Forecast for the week of June 26, 2023
Today is the 14th consecutive day a heat advisory or excessive heat warning has been in place for the area. Climatologically, when a significant high pressure sets up over Southeast Texas in the summer the system tends to stay relatively in place for 2-3 weeks before a change in the synoptic scale pattern changes causing […]
How El Nino impacts Southeast Texas Hurricane Season
Today is June 19, and we have our second named tropical storm of the season in the Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center also notes an area to the east-southeast of the new tropical storm has a 50% chance of development. This is a good time to explain how El Nino impacts hurricane season for Southeast […]
Forecast for the week of June 18
No real change in the overall weather pattern for this week. Summertime high pressure systems can be persistent, and the high from Mexico that has brought us the heat is here to stay for a while. Persistent isn’t immobile, and the way the high pressure moves will create some differences in the week ahead. The […]
Forecast for the week of June 11th
After a couple of days with severe weather we are going to see a different type of danger from the weather this week – extreme heat. A ridge over central Mexico is going to expand northward and bring significantly hotter weather to Southeast Texas this week. Monday and Tuesday give us a preview of the […]
Forecast for the week of May 28th
The weather will start out with a sharp precipitation gradient across the area for Memorial Day extending into Tuesday morning. A trough will approach from the west and slowly move through the area. After the trough clears the area weak high pressure will be the primary weather influence until the weekend when we return to […]